The Weekly Issue #8

Issue #8

2 November 2026 • Edited by Finance Desk

Inflation hits 4.3% and a Cup Day rate rise is now firmly in play. Takeover battles heat up at Challenger, Ingenia and Accent, Coles has its worst day on the market since 2020, and ASIC goes after the bosses behind First Guardian. Plus: the ACCC's merger regime ten months in, Michele Bullock's second act, and Shemara Wikramanayake's farewell from Macquarie.

01
Economy Inflation Hits 4.3% and Puts a Cup Day Rate Rise on the Card

Hotter-than-expected September figures, led by housing and fuel, have markets betting heavily that the RBA will lift rates on Tuesday 3 November.

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02
Finance Business Credit Grows 11.3% in a Year, Outpacing Housing as Rates Keep Rising

Reserve Bank data show lending to businesses rose 0.9% in September for a second straight month, even as borrowers brace for what would be the fifth rate rise of 2026.

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03
Finance Challenger Says No to $11.80, but Keeps the Door Open for Its Japanese Suitor

Annuity provider Challenger has rejected a takeover proposal from its largest shareholder, TAL Daiichi Life, as too low, just as demand for guaranteed retirement income surges.

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04
Growth Warburg Pincus Tops AVID in the Fight for Ingenia, and the Clock Is Ticking

A $5.50 proposal from Warburg Pincus has trumped AVID’s $5.40 for the seniors’ housing and holiday parks group. AVID has until 1 November to respond.

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05
Industries Coles Has Its Worst Day on the Market Since 2020 as Woolworths Pulls Ahead

A slower first quarter, flat first-half supermarket earnings guidance and a price reset sent the supermarket’s shares down 7.7%, while its larger rival grew sales at almost twice the pace.

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06
Legal ASIC Takes Falcon Capital’s Former Bosses to Court Over the First Guardian Collapse

The regulator has launched civil penalty proceedings alleging serious failures in managing a fund that took in more than $600 million, largely from Australians’ super. The allegations are yet to be tested.

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07
Legal Ten Months In, the ACCC’s Mandatory Merger Regime Has Found Its First Teeth — and Its First Fixes

Hundreds of deals have been cleared quickly under Australia’s new compulsory merger regime, but a blocked Coles lease and a September round of amendments show the rules are still settling.

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08
Tax Start-Up CGT Discount, Monthly PAYG and an EV Phase-Down: Tax Reform No. 4 Clears the House

Two days after it was introduced, the bill changing start-up investor tax, the R&D incentive, venture capital limits, PAYG instalments and the FBT treatment of electric cars has passed the House of Representatives.

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09
Profiles Michele Bullock’s Second Act: The Governor Who Cut, Then Had to Hike

Three years into the job, the RBA’s first female Governor has taken the cash rate from 3.60% to 4.60% in 2026, and she has made clear she will go further if inflation demands it.

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10
Profiles Shemara Wikramanayake Bows Out: Macquarie’s Global Builder Hands Over After Eight Years at the Top

After almost four decades at Macquarie and eight years as chief executive, Shemara Wikramanayake retires on 6 November, handing a record-setting group to long-time colleague Greg Ward.

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